How the FIRE calculator works
Your FIRE number is the portfolio size at which a safe withdrawal rate covers your annual spending:
With $45,000 of spending and a 4% withdrawal rate, that's $1,125,000. The calculator then grows your current savings at your expected return, adds what you save each year (take-home income minus spending), and counts the years until the balance reaches your FIRE number.
All numbers are in today's dollars. Using a real (inflation-adjusted) return keeps the FIRE number meaningful: a 5% real return is roughly a 7.5% to 8% nominal return with 2.5% to 3% inflation.
Why savings rate matters more than income
Spending appears twice in the math. Cutting $5,000 a year of spending adds $5,000 to your yearly savings and lowers your FIRE number by $125,000 at a 4% withdrawal rate. That's why two people with very different incomes but the same savings rate reach FI in about the same number of years.
Choosing a withdrawal rate
The 4% rule comes from studies of US market history (the Trinity study and William Bengen's research) showing that withdrawing 4% of a stock-and-bond portfolio in year one, then adjusting for inflation, survived nearly every 30-year period. Early retirees face 40 to 50 years, so many use 3.25% to 3.75% for a larger margin of safety.
| Withdrawal rate | FIRE number multiple | $50,000 spending needs |
|---|---|---|
| 4.0% | 25× | $1,250,000 |
| 3.5% | 28.6× | $1,428,571 |
| 3.0% | 33.3× | $1,666,667 |
Frequently asked questions
What is a FIRE number?
Should I include my home equity?
What about Social Security?
Does this include taxes in retirement?
Last reviewed: 2026-10-09